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Bonus wager calculator

What a deposit match really costs to clear, and whether it is worth more than rakeback.

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Bonus credited–
Turnover required–
Effective turnover at weight–
Expected cost of turnover–
Expected value–
Equivalent rakeback rate–
Verdict

Bonus wager calculator – chart
Computed from the real 99% paytables.

What a deposit match really costs

A "200% bonus up to $1,000" sounds like free money, but it is a loan you repay through wagering. If the bonus carries 40× wagering, a $500 bonus requires $20,000 of bets before it can be withdrawn. At a 1% house edge those bets cost, on average, $200 – so the bonus is worth about $300 if you clear it, and most players do not.

Game weighting is the hidden multiplier. If Plinko counts 100% toward wagering, the numbers above hold. If it counts 10%, you need $200,000 of Plinko bets to clear the same bonus, and the expected cost exceeds the bonus by a wide margin. Always read the weighting table before you accept a match.

Match versus rakeback

The calculator shows the equivalent rakeback rate: the rakeback percentage that would hand you the same value over the same turnover. If that figure is below 10%, a plain rakeback deal like Stake's GETRAKEBACK is at least as good and comes with no strings. If it is above 20%, the match is the better deal provided you were going to wager that much anyway.

Screenshot of the Bonus wager calculator on PlinkoGames.io
The calculator with default inputs.

Flagship offer: Stake pays rakeback on every Plinko wager once you enter GETRAKEBACK. See how much it is worth →

FAQ

FAQ

Click any question – they open independently.

Which brands here have a deposit match?

Shuffle (200% to $1,000), Roobet (100% to $1,000), Rainbet (up to $2,100 plus spins and rakeback), Gamdom (100% plus 15% rakeback) and BC.Game (multi-deposit package).

Does Plinko usually count 100% toward wagering?

At most crypto casinos Originals games count 100%, but a few exclude or down-weight them. Check the bonus terms; the Shuffle terms are linked from our Shuffle page.

What does a negative expected value mean?

That the average cost of the required turnover exceeds the bonus. You would be better off declining the bonus and playing with your own money, ideally with rakeback.

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Our flagship pick is Stake: provably fair Plinko, 8–16 rows, and rakeback on every drop once you enter GETRAKEBACK. Verified by Mia this month.

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