How the simulation works
Each run starts with your bankroll and drops balls at your bet size on the chosen paytable until the balance can no longer cover a bet or the target number of drops is reached. We run 2,000 sessions and report how many survived, how many doubled the bankroll along the way, and where the busts typically happened. Because the outcomes are sampled from the real paytable rather than a normal approximation, the fat tails of high-risk Plinko are properly represented.
Reading the results
Survive target drops is the headline number. On 16 rows low risk, a 100-bet bankroll survives 500 drops in the vast majority of runs. On 16 rows high risk, the same bankroll busts before 500 drops more often than not – and the expected final balance is almost identical in both cases, because the house edge is the same. The difference is entirely variance.
Double bankroll first tells you the chance of hitting +100% at some point before the session ends. High-risk tables score higher here, which is their appeal; the price is the bust rate next to it.
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